Investors’ recognition of carbon-related risks is growing… fast.
This study, ‘Carbon crisis: Systemic risk of carbon emission liabilities’, evaluates these risks to the Australian economy, which is heavily invested in emissions-intensive activities.
Australia’s industry and exports are emissions-intensive. This intensity is a growing economic liability, as the international community strengthens its efforts to limit climate change.
Without changing the Australian investment focus towards cleaner energy, the country is on course for systemic economic decline; which means high unemployment, high debt, and deep recession.
Projections of Australia’s energy production expect our footprint to grow from 3% to 16% of the global carbon budget by 2050.
Global economic risks cannot be controlled by domestic actions and policies; carbon-related risks can be directly reduced by domestic actions and policies.
Penalties on emissions in excess of Australia’s fair share represents a 50% chance of causing a systemic crisis.
The time delay for investments to convert to real emission reductions requires forward planning. The earlier actions are taken, the lower the risk of crisis.
Report first published Feb 2015